A | 北京8月17日电（记者 韩鹏飞）8月17日，国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，介绍2026年7月份国民经济运行情况。 会上，国家统计局新闻发言人、国民经济综合统计司副司长王冠华介绍，7月份，我国居民消费价格总体保持温和上涨态势，同比上涨0.5%，涨幅比上个月回落0.5个百分点，环比下降0.1%，主要是由于国际输入性因素的影响。 "Remember what happened in 1983? Two days after 241 Marines were blown up in Lebanon, the USA invaded tiny Grenada. Overnight, the previous headlines disappeared. I think we are seeing the same today. NATO is losing badly in Ukraine and it’s going to be a long winter for the West. Pounding its imperial chest with Taiwan is now what the MSM is reporting, much less so Ukraine," suggests Jeff J. Brown, author of "The China Trilogy," editor at China Rising Radio Sinoland, and curator of the Bioweapon Truth Commission.,If Pelosi travels to Taiwan, this would be the first time a high-ranking US politician visits the place in 25 years. Last time it was Newt Gingrich, then-speaker of the US House of Representatives, who arrived on the island in 1997, ignoring the Chinese leadership's discontent.,"I said firmly, 'We want you to understand, we will defend Taiwan. Period,'" Gingrich told the press at the time, as quoted by The New York Times. However, Clinton administration officials made it clear that Gingrich "was speaking for himself.",Likewise, it appears that Pelosi's apparent visit to Taiwan is not in line with the Biden administration's China policy, argues Francesco Sisci, a Beijing-based China expert, author, and columnist.,"American politics is not set like an omniscient Leviathan," the China expert says. "The Congress, the Senate, the executive all move according to different agendas which do not often coincide and are in conflict with one another. The issue is that there is a growing anti-Beijing sentiment in America and this has sometimes bursts which aren’t fully sorted out. I believe the visit is an expression of a sentiment, rather than of a clear cut plan.",According to CNN, Pelosi's initiative has triggered concerns both in the Biden administration and the Pentagon, with US national security officials "quietly working to convince House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of the risks of her potential trip to Taiwan." While in 1997 Beijing and Washington managed to solve the dilemma, this time the PRC leadership might opt for a harsher response, CNN and The Guardian have warned.,US Military Expansion in Asia-Pacific is Part of Plan to Take on Russo-China Tandem, Scholar Says28 July, 16:15 GMT,Washington has been fanning US-Sino tensions for quite a while, starting with Donald Trump's tariff war against Beijing, which has yet to be halted by Joe Biden. In a candid phone conversation, Chinese President Xi Jinping warned his American counterpart against "playing with fire" over Taiwan and explained that any involvement would ultimately backfire on the US.,"A Chinese general has publicly declared that Pelosi’s visit could entail a military response from Beijing," Brown says. "China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has repeated this. Now, with Xi’s 'You get burned playing with fire' metaphor, I think there would be a military response.",Senior Colonel Tan Kefei, a spokesperson for China's Ministry of Defense, stated on July 26: "If the US insists on taking its own course, the Chinese military will never sit idly by, and it will definitely take strong actions to thwart any external force's interference.",Tan highlighted that Pelosi's visit to Taiwan would "seriously violate the one-China principle" and "seriously harm China's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and seriously damage the political foundation of China-US relations.",Meanwhile, Brown surmises that China's hypothetical response "might include a declared no-fly zone." However, there is a "much more elegant option," according to the author:,"[China could] take over Taiwan’s Kinmen Island, which is only two kilometers from Xiamen, off China’s Fujian Province coast. It would take only a few hours. I do not think Beijing will strike any US targets, unless attacked first.",North Korea Ready to Mobilize Nuclear Deterrence Forces at Any Moment - Kim Jong Un28 July, 01:13 GMT,The scholar also does not rule out that the Democratic People's Republic of Korea's (DPRK) remark, made earlier this week, that Pyongyang is “fully prepared” for any military conflict with the United States is no coincidence.,"Does Biden know that China and nuclear-armed North Korea have had a mutual defense treaty since 1961?" Brown asks rhetorically. "NATO is being bled dry in Ukraine and it is imperial folly, hubris or geopolitical brinkmanship to think it can fight East Asia’s biggest and most powerful military, which is only 200 km from Taiwan.",For his part, Sisci believes that the PRC could opt for an asymmetrical non-military response. Still, the unfolding crisis is complicated by the fact that Washington is already involved in a confrontation with Russia, raising questions as to whether the US is capable of taking on Moscow and Beijing at once.,"I don’t think that either China or the US wants an escalation," says Sisci. "The talk between Biden and Xi Jinping was to avoid an escalation.",Brown also believes that Beijing's warnings have been heard by Washington.,"Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan has been bandied about by Washington for months now," he says. "A supposed Covid-19 infection scuttled the first trial balloon. After Biden’s phone call yesterday with Xi, I suspect another American 'postponement' is likely to occur. If not, then 'Katy, bar the door!'"。7月份，国际原油价格振荡下行，国内汽油价格环比下降10.7%，降幅比上个月扩大5.8个百分点，影响CPI环比下降约0.35个百分点。从同比来看，国内汽油价格7月份同比上涨1%，涨幅比上个月回落16个百分点，影响CPI同比涨幅回落约0.45个百分点。 食品和能源价格受短期因素的影响较大，观察物价的变化不仅要看CPI，还要看扣除食品和能源之后的核心CPI的变化。7月份，核心CPI环比上涨0.3%，同比上涨0.9%，涨幅都比较稳定。特别是部分的工业消费品和服务价格上涨比较明显，反映了居民消费提质扩容对于物价的支撑。具体来看，7月份，扣除能源的工业消费品价格同比上涨1.5%，其中黄金饰品、个人护理用品价格分别上涨24.6%和1.7%；人工智能驱动消费电子产品迭代升级，相关产品的需求旺盛，价格上涨，计算机、平板电脑、移动电话机的价格同比和环比都有所上涨。另外，居民多样化、个性化、品质化的服务消费需求不断释放，带动7月份的服务价格同比上涨0.7%，其中医疗服务、家政服务、在外餐饮价格同比分别上涨4.3%、1.3%和1.0%。另外，随着暑期的文旅出行需求增加，旅行社收费、宾馆住宿、飞机票、交通工具租赁的价格也都比上个月有所上涨。 另外，判断物价的变化，不能只盯着单个月份的数据，还要看累计、看连续多个月份的变化才能够得出更加客观的结论。前7个月，我国CPI同比上涨0.9%，核心CPI上涨1.1%，与去年全年和去年同期相比，涨幅都有比较明显的回升。
B | 综合来看，尽管国际输入性因素对于国内部分领域价格造成了扰动，但是消费价格温和上涨的态势没有改变。
C | 物价能否合理回升，主要还是看国内的需求状况和供求关系。版权申明：凡注有“”或电头为“”的稿件，均为独家版权所有，未经许可不得转载或镜像；授权转载必须注明来源为“”，并保留“”的电头。 。
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